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STATE OF THE ARCTIC MARINE BIODIVERSITY REPORT - &lt;a href="https://arcticbiodiversity.is/findings/seabirds" target="_blank"&gt;Chapter 3&lt;/a&gt; - Page 135 - Figure 3.5.3

This figure is compiled from data from researchers working throughout circumpolar regions, primarily members of the Circumpolar Seabird Group, an EN of CAFF/seabirds. Dr. Sebastien Decamps conducted the analysis and produced the original figure; the full results will be available in an article in prep titled: “Descamps et al. in prep. Circumpolar dynamics of black-legged kittiwakes track large-scale environmental shifts and oceans' warming rate.” [expected submission spring 2016].

Colony population trends were analyzed using a linear regression with the year as explanatory variable. Based on slope of the regression (which cannot be exactly 0) colonies are either Declining (Slope of the regression &lt;0) or Increasing (Slope of the regression &gt;0). (Colonies may have had a negative but not significant slope, and could be stable but for some others, the slope is not significant due to small sample size / low power; thus we cannot say that all colonies with a non- significant slope are stable. The threshold was put at 5% to assess the significance of the trend.</gco:CharacterString>
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