Statistically downscaled scenarios of projected minimum temperature change

Statistically downscaled multi-model ensembles of projected change (also known as anomalies) in minimum temperature (°C) are available at a 10km spatial resolution for 1951-2100. Statistically downscaled ensembles are based on output from twenty-four Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) global climate models (GCM). Daily minimum temperature from GCM outputs were downscaled using the Bias Correction/Constructed Analogues with Quantile mapping version 2 (BCCAQv2). A historical gridded minimum temperature dataset of Canada (ANUSPLIN) was used as the downscaling target.

Projected change in minimum temperature (°C) is with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005. Seasonal and annual averages of projected minimum temperature change to 1986-2005 are provided. Specifically, the 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 95th percentiles of the downscaled ensembles of minimum temperature change are available for the historical time period, 1901-2005, and for emission scenarios, RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for 2006-2100.

Twenty-year average changes in statistically downscaled mean minimum temperature (°C) for four time periods (2021-2040; 2041-2060; 2061-2080; 2081-2100), with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005, for RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 are also available in a range of formats. The median projected change across the ensemble of downscaled CMIP5 climate models is provided.

Note: Projections among climate models can vary because of differences in their underlying representation of earth system processes. Thus, the use of a multi-model ensemble approach has been demonstrated in recent scientific literature to likely provide better projected climate change information.

Simple

Date ( RI_367 )
2018-09-06
Date ( RI_366 )
2018-01-01
RI_414
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada - Benita Tam ( Analyst )
Canada
Status
completed; complété RI_593
Maintenance and update frequency
asNeeded; auBesoin RI_540
Keywords ( RI_528 )
  • statistically downscaled scenarios, projections, climate, climate change, temperature, precipitation, percentiles, ensembles, climate model, cmip5
local.theme.EC_Information_Category local.theme.EC_Information_Category ( RI_528 )
  • Weather and Climate
local.theme.EC_Waf local.theme.EC_Waf ( RI_528 )
  • Provide Climate Information Products and Services
  • Expand Scientific Knowledge for Climate Monitoring and Prediction
local.place.EC_Geographic_Scope local.place.EC_Geographic_Scope ( RI_525 )
  • National (CA)
Government of Canada Core Subject Thesaurus Thésaurus des sujets de base du gouvernement du Canada ( RI_528 )
  • Climate
  • Climate change
Use limitation
Open Government Licence - Canada (http://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada)
Access constraints
license; licence RI_606
Use constraints
license; licence RI_606
Spatial representation type
grid; grille RI_636
Metadata language
eng; CAN
Character set
utf8; utf8 RI_458
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
Begin date
2021-01-01
End date
2100-01-01
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Reference system identifier
EPSG / 4326 /
Distribution format
  • NetCDF ( 1 )

RI_412
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada - Environment and Climate Change Canada ( Inquiry Centre )
10 Wellington, 23rd Floor , Gatineau , K1A 0H3 ,
819-997-2800
819-994-1412
http://ec.gc.ca
OnLine resource
View Data Mart ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Dataset;HTML;eng

OnLine resource
View Data Mart ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Dataset;HTML;fra

OnLine resource
Climate Data Viewer ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Application;HTML;eng

OnLine resource
Climate Data Viewer ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Application;HTML;fra

OnLine resource
Climate Data Extraction Tool ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Application;HTML;eng,fra

OnLine resource
GeoMet WMS (EN) ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Web Service;WMS;eng

OnLine resource
GeoMet WMS (FR) ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Web Service;WMS;fra

OnLine resource
GeoMet WCS (EN) ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Web Service;GeoTIF;eng

OnLine resource
GeoMet WCS (FR) ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Web Service;GeoTIF;fra

OnLine resource
Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios EN ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Application;NetCDF;eng

OnLine resource
Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios FR ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Application;NetCDF;fra

OnLine resource
Data Collection Methodology ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Supporting Document;PDF;eng

OnLine resource
Data Collection Methodology ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Supporting Document;PDF;fra

OnLine resource
View ECCC Data Mart (English) ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Web Service;HTML;eng

OnLine resource
View ECCC Data Mart (French) ( WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link )

Web Service;HTML;fra

File identifier
3156e7bf-6f11-46f7-b70a-51b6d4e3835b XML
Metadata language
eng; CAN
Character set
utf8; utf8 RI_458
Hierarchy level
series; série RI_623
Date stamp
2018-09-27T19:18:41
Metadata standard name
North American Profile of ISO 19115:2003 - Geographic information - Metadata
Metadata standard version
CAN/CGSB-171.100-2009
RI_418
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada - Environment and Climate Change Canada ( Inquiry Centre )
10 Wellington, 23rd Floor , Gatineau , K1A 0H3 ,
819-997-2800
819-994-1412
http://ec.gc.ca
Dataset URI
Scénarios à échelle statistiquement réduite des changements projetés des températures minimales
 
 

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