Number of large fires (>200 hectares) - Medium-term (2041-2070) under RCP 8.5

The fire regime describes the patterns of fire seasonality, frequency, size, spatial continuity, intensity, type (e.g., crown or surface fire) and severity in a particular area or ecosystem.

The number of large fires refers to the annual number of fires greater than 200 hectares (ha) that occur per units of 100,000 ha. It was calculated per Homogeneous Fire Regime (HFR) zones. These HFR zones represent areas where the fire regime is similar over a broad spatial scale (Boulanger et al. 2014). Such zonation is useful in identifying areas with unusual fire regimes that would have been overlooked if fires had been aggregated according to administrative and/or ecological classifications.

Fire data comes from the Canadian National Fire Database covering 1959–1999 (for HFR zones building) and 1959-1995 (for model building). Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) modeling was used to relate monthly fire regime attributes with monthly climatic/fire-weather in each HFR zone. Future climatic data were simulated using the Canadian Earth System Model version 2 (CanESM2) and downscaled at a 10 Km resolution using ANUSPLIN for two different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). RCPs are different greenhouse gas concentration trajectories adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for its fifth Assessment Report. RCP 2.6 (referred to as rapid emissions reductions) assumes that greenhouse gas concentrations peak between 2010-2020, with emissions declining thereafter. In the RCP 8.5 scenario (referred to as continued emissions increases) greenhouse gas concentrations continue to rise throughout the 21st century.

Provided layer: projected number of large fires (>200 ha) across Canada for the medium-term (2041-2070) under the RCP 8.5 (continued emissions increases).

Reference: Boulanger, Y., Gauthier, S., et al. 2014. A refinement of models projecting future Canadian fire regimes using homogeneous fire regime zones. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 44, 365–376.

Simple

Date ( RI_367 )
2016
Date ( RI_366 )
2015
RI_418
  Government of Canada; Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service - Yan Boulanger ( )
Status
onGoing; enContinue RI_596
Maintenance and update frequency
asNeeded; auBesoin RI_540
Keywords ( RI_528 )
  • large fire
  • wildland fire
  • fire regime
Government of Canada Core Subject Thesaurus Thésaurus des sujets de base du gouvernement du Canada ( RI_528 )
  • Forest fires
  • Climate change
Use limitation
Open Government Licence - Canada (http://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada)
Access constraints
license; licence RI_606
Use constraints
license; licence RI_606
Spatial representation type
vector; vecteur RI_635
Metadata language
eng
Metadata language
fra
Character set
utf8; utf8 RI_458
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
Begin date
2041
End date
2070
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S
E
W
thumbnail


Reference system identifier
http://www.epsg-registry.org / EPSG:3347 /
Reference system identifier
http://www.epsg-registry.org / EPSG:3978 /
Distribution format
  • SHP ( N/A )

  • ESRI REST ( 10.7.1 )

  • WMS ( 1.3.0 )

  • FGDB/GDB ( 10 )

  • KML ( 2.2 )

  • MXD ( 10.3 )

RI_412
  Government of Canada; Natural Resources Canada;Strategic Policy and Innovation Sector, Federal Geospatial Platform - ( )
OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Number of large fires ( ESRI REST: Map Service )

Web Service;ESRI REST;eng

OnLine resource
Forest Change Data Catalogue ( HTTPS )

Dataset;PDF;fra

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Number of large fires ( ESRI REST: Map Service )

Web Service;ESRI REST;fra

OnLine resource
Forest Change Data Catalogue ( HTTPS )

Dataset;PDF;eng

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Number of large fires ( OGC:WMS )

Web Service;WMS;eng

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Number of large fires ( OGC:WMS )

Web Service;WMS;fra

OnLine resource
Number of large fires (English ESRI File Geodatabase) ( HTTPS )

Dataset;FGDB/GDB;eng

OnLine resource
Number of large fires (French ESRI File Geodatabase) ( HTTPS )

Dataset;FGDB/GDB;fra

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Number of large fires (English Google Earth file) ( HTTPS )

Dataset;KML;eng

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Number of large fires (French Google Earth file) ( HTTPS )

Dataset;KML;fra

OnLine resource
Number of large fires (English ESRI ArcMap project file) ( HTTPS )

Supporting Document;MXD;eng

OnLine resource
Number of large fires (French ESRI ArcMap project file) ( HTTPS )

Supporting Document;MXD;fra

File identifier
ca6bf237-d7ca-4d49-9046-b39f89e1a10f XML
Metadata language
eng; CAN
Character set
utf8; utf8 RI_458
Parent identifier
Number of large fires (>200 hectares) across Canada ed8aa69f-8580-4c10-a8d9-eb2dea487d96
Hierarchy level
dataset; jeuDonnées RI_622
Date stamp
2022-01-18T19:43:31
Metadata standard name
North American Profile of ISO 19115:2003 - Geographic information - Metadata
Metadata standard version
CAN/CGSB-171.100-2009
RI_414
  Government of Canada; Natural Resources Canada;Strategic Policy and Innovation Sector, Federal Geospatial Platform - ( )
 
 

Overviews

overview

Spatial extent

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thumbnail


Keywords


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