Projected Precipitation change based on CMIP5 multi-model ensembles
Seasonal and annual multi-model ensembles of projected relative change (also known as anomalies) in mean precipitation based on an ensemble of twenty-nine Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) global climate models are available for 1901-2100. Projected relative change in mean precipitation is with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005 and expressed as a percentage (%). The 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 95th percentiles of the ensembles of mean precipitation change are available for the historical time period, 1901-2005, and for emission scenarios, RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for 2006-2100.
Twenty-year average changes in mean precipitation (%) for four time periods (2021-2040; 2041-2060; 2061-2080; 2081-2100), with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005, for RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 are also available in a range of formats. The median projected change across the ensemble of CMIP5 climate models is provided.
Note: Projections among climate models can vary because of differences in their underlying representation of earth system processes. Thus, the use of a multi-model ensemble approach has been demonstrated in recent scientific literature to likely provide better projected climate change information.
Simple
- Date ( RI_367 )
- 2018-09-06
- Date ( RI_366 )
- 2018-01-01
- Status
- completed; complété RI_593
- Maintenance and update frequency
- asNeeded; auBesoin RI_540
- Keywords ( RI_528 )
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- Projections, climate, climate change, percentiles, ensembles, climate model, precipitation, cmip5, anomaly
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- Climate
- Climate change
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- Weather and Climate
- Business Functions Fonctions de l'entreprise ( Theme )
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- Provide Climate Information Products and Services
- Expand Scientific Knowledge for Climate Monitoring and Prediction
- Geography Portée Géographique ( Place )
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- National (CA)
- external.theme.EC_Branch local.theme.external.theme.EC_Branch ( RI_528 )
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- Science and Technology Branch
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- Atmospheric Science and Technology
- external.theme.GC_Security_Level local.theme.external.theme.GC_Security_Level ( RI_528 )
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- Unclassified
- Use limitation
- Open Government Licence - Canada (http://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada)
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- Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
- Begin date
- 2021-01-01
- End date
- 2100-01-01
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- Date stamp
- 2021-12-07T18:28:55
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