Annual area burned by large fires (>200 hectares) - Medium-term (2041-2070) under RCP 8.5

The fire regime describes the patterns of fire seasonality, frequency, size, spatial continuity, intensity, type (e.g., crown or surface fire) and severity in a particular area or ecosystem.

Annual area burned is the average surface area burned annually in Canada by large fires (greater than 200 hectares (ha)). Changes in annual area burned were estimated using Homogeneous Fire Regime (HFR) zones. These zones represent areas where the fire regime is similar over a broad spatial scale (Boulanger et al. 2014). Such zonation is useful in identifying areas with unusual fire regimes that would have been overlooked if fires had been aggregated according to administrative and/or ecological classifications.

Fire data comes from the Canadian National Fire Database covering 1959–1999 (for HFR zones building) and 1959-1995 (for model building). Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) modeling was used to relate monthly fire regime attributes with monthly climatic/fire-weather in each HFR zone. Future climatic data were simulated using the Canadian Earth System Model version 2 (CanESM2) and downscaled at a 10 Km resolution using ANUSPLIN for two different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). RCPs are different greenhouse gas concentration trajectories adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for its fifth Assessment Report. RCP 2.6 (referred to as rapid emissions reductions) assumes that greenhouse gas concentrations peak between 2010-2020, with emissions declining thereafter. In the RCP 8.5 scenario (referred to as continued emissions increases) greenhouse gas concentrations continue to rise throughout the 21st century.

Provided layer: projected annual area burned by large fires (>200 ha) across Canada for the medium-term (2041-2070) under the RCP 8.5 (continued emissions increases).

Reference: Boulanger, Y., Gauthier, S., et al. 2014. A refinement of models projecting future Canadian fire regimes using homogeneous fire regime zones. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 44, 365–376.

Simple

Date ( RI_367 )
2016
Date ( RI_366 )
2015
RI_418
  Government of Canada; Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service - Yan Boulanger ( )
Status
onGoing; enContinue RI_596
Maintenance and update frequency
asNeeded; auBesoin RI_540
Keywords ( RI_528 )
  • annual area burned
  • large fire
  • wildland fire
  • fire regime
Government of Canada Core Subject Thesaurus Thésaurus des sujets de base du gouvernement du Canada ( RI_528 )
  • Forest fires
  • Climate change
Use limitation
Open Government Licence - Canada (http://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada)
Access constraints
license; licence RI_606
Use constraints
license; licence RI_606
Spatial representation type
vector; vecteur RI_635
Metadata language
eng
Metadata language
fra
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
Begin date
2041
End date
2070
N
S
E
W
thumbnail


Reference system identifier
http://www.epsg-registry.org / EPSG:3347 /
Reference system identifier
http://www.epsg-registry.org / EPSG:3978 /
Distribution format
  • SHP ( N/A )

  • ESRI REST ( 10.7.1 )

  • WMS ( 1.3.0 )

  • FGDB/GDB ( 10 )

  • KML ( 2.2 )

RI_412
  Government of Canada; Natural Resources Canada;Strategic Policy and Innovation Sector, Federal Geospatial Platform - ( )
OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Annual area burned ( ESRI REST: Map Service )

Web Service;ESRI REST;eng

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Annual area burned ( ESRI REST: Map Service )

Web Service;ESRI REST;fra

OnLine resource
Forest Change Data Catalogue ( HTTPS )

Dataset;SHP;eng,fra

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Annual area burned ( OGC:WMS )

Web Service;WMS;eng

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Annual area burned ( OGC:WMS )

Web Service;WMS;fra

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Annual area burned (English) ( HTTPS )

Dataset;KML;eng

OnLine resource
2041-2070 [RCP 8.5] – Annual area burned (French) ( HTTPS )

Dataset;KML;fra

OnLine resource
Annual area burned (English) ( HTTPS )

Dataset;FGDB/GDB;eng

OnLine resource
Annual area burned (French) ( HTTPS )

Dataset;FGDB/GDB;fra

OnLine resource
Annual area burned (English) ( HTTPS )

Supporting Document;MXD;eng

OnLine resource
Annual area burned (French) ( HTTPS )

Supporting Document;MXD;fra

File identifier
f2997015-1cd7-4407-b58d-1bfcbb4a8290 XML
Metadata language
eng; CAN
Character set
utf8; utf8 RI_458
Parent identifier
Annual area burned by large fires (>200 hectares) across Canada 779f9b2d-d010-4ddc-b3b3-57a9ac7631b2
Hierarchy level
dataset; jeuDonnées RI_622
Date stamp
2022-01-13T19:45:41
Metadata standard name
North American Profile of ISO 19115:2003 - Geographic information - Metadata
Metadata standard version
CAN/CGSB-171.100-2009
RI_414
  Government of Canada; Natural Resources Canada;Strategic Policy and Innovation Sector, Federal Geospatial Platform - ( )
 
 

Overviews

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Spatial extent

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Keywords


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