Weather Models
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This polygon layer shows the spatial distribution of forecasted accumulated precipitation across watershed sub‑basins using data derived from the Regional Ensemble Prediction System (REPS). In other words, it aggregates precipitation amounts—computed from processed REPS forecast output (converted from GRIB2 files into raster [TIF] format)—over defined watershed boundaries to provide a detailed view of expected rainfall over a typical 72‑hour forecast period. This information supports regional hydrological forecasting, flood risk analysis, and water resource management. REPS forecast data are first processed to extract the accumulated precipitation field (APCP) and converted into high‑resolution raster images. These “REPS APCP rasters” represent the spatial distribution of forecast precipitation (in millimeters) over the region. Next, using pre‑defined watershed or sub‑basin boundaries, zonal statistics are applied to compute the average precipitation for each sub‑basin. The final layer displays these averaged values as polygon features, highlighting variations in forecasted rainfall across different drainage areas. This approach helps users pinpoint regions that may receive higher or lower rainfall, thereby enhancing hydrological assessments and emergency planning.
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This polygon layer shows sub-basin averages of HRDPS (High Resolution Deterministic Prediction System) precipitation. Ideal for capturing short-range (0–48h) high-resolution precipitation forecasts aggregated at the watershed scale. The HRDPS is a 2.5 km resolution model used for short-range, convection-permitting forecasts in Canada. This layer takes HRDPS precipitation totals and aggregates them by each sub-basin polygon, revealing how localized rain or snow could impact individual watersheds. Useful for near-term flood or flash-flood risk, as well as local water management during intense weather.
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This polygon layer depicts sub-basin average observed precipitation from the High Resolution Deterministic Precipitation Analysis (HRDPA). Offers insight into how much rain/snow actually fell across each watershed in the past observation period. Observation periods we are interested are for past 1 day, 3 days and 7 days. HRDPA is ECCC’s high-resolution precipitation analysis, merging gauge, radar, and HRDPS model data. This layer aggregates the final (or preliminary) HRDPA accumulations to sub-basin polygons. Each record indicates the average precipitation that truly occurred over each watershed, vital for verifying model forecasts, calibrating hydrological models, and conducting post-event analyses of flood or drought severity.
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This polygon layer displays 84-hour accumulated precipitation forecasts from the Regional Deterministic Prediction System (RDPS), aggregated at the sub-basin level. This layer helps hydrologists, water resource managers, and emergency responders identify watersheds with potentially higher rainfall or snowfall, facilitating short-term flood risk analysis and operational planning. Model & Domain: The RDPS is Environment and Climate Change Canada’s regional numerical weather prediction model, running at ~10 km resolution to capture mesoscale weather patterns over Canada and adjacent regions. Forecast Integration: It produces short-range forecasts (up to 84 hours), updated 4 times daily with boundary conditions from the global GEM model (GDPS). Sub-Basin Aggregation: This layer averages forecasted precipitation across each sub-basin polygon, providing a convenient snapshot of expected accumulations for hydrological modeling and water management. Key Applications:Flood Forecasting – Identifying basins at risk of heavy runoff. Resource Allocation – Positioning crews and equipment in vulnerable watersheds. Planning – Adapting reservoir release schedules, urban drainage controls, and agricultural activities
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This polygon layer showcases ultra-fine (2.5 km) short-range precipitation forecasts from the High Resolution Deterministic Prediction System (HRDPS), a convection-permitting model by Environment and Climate Change Canada. It identifies local-scale rainfall or snowfall patterns up to 48 hours, supporting urban flood forecasting, severe weather response, and detailed water resource planning. Convection-Permitting: The HRDPS can explicitly resolve thunderstorms and other small-scale weather events by running at ~2.5 km. Short-Range Focus: Typically provides forecasts out to 36–48 hours, updated several times daily. Local Impact: Valuable for pinpointing high-impact precipitation in complex terrain or urban environments, aiding emergency managers and hydrologists in short-lead-time decisions. Nested Model: Receives lateral boundary conditions from RDPS, maintaining consistency with regional forecasts while refining detail in local domains.
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This polygon layer displays sub-basin-level average precipitation derived from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) model. This layer helps hydrologists, forecasters, and planners see how much rainfall/snowfall is predicted or has occurred in each sub-basin, supporting medium-range water resource and flood management. We are intersested in the forecast period of 7 days. This layer aggregates ECMWF forecast precipitation over polygonal sub-basins. Each feature includes attributes for average accumulated precipitation, forecast run/valid times, and sub-basin identifiers. ECMWF is a leading global model offering medium-range (up to 10 days) forecasts at a high skill level. By focusing on sub-basins, this layer aids in local-scale decision-making—enabling more precise flood risk assessments, reservoir inflow estimates, and water resource planning across the region of interest.
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Shows sub-basin-averaged precipitation from the GEPS ensemble, reflecting the mean (or other metrics) of multiple ensemble members. Useful to understand probabilistic rainfall/snowfall expectations for each watershed. GEPS is ECCC’s ensemble system, running ~20 members globally to quantify forecast uncertainty out to ~16 days. This layer aggregates ensemble precipitation data over sub-basin polygons. The attribute “Average Accumulated Precipitation” often represents the ensemble mean, capturing a more probable average scenario. Operators can use this for risk-based hydrological planning or to gauge confidence in upcoming flood/drought scenarios across different sub-basins.
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This polygon layer represents accumulated precipitation forecasts from the Global Forecast System (GFS), a global numerical weather prediction model operated by NOAA/NCEP. It provides global medium‑range precipitation forecasts, as a 168‑hour (7‑day) accumulation, to support a wide range of weather and hydrological applications. This polygon layer is generated by extracting the accumulated precipitation field from Global Forecast System (GFS) GRIB2 files. The raw data are converted into a TIF raster, then resampled, smoothed, and classified into discrete precipitation ranges. The resulting polygon features depict forecasted precipitation accumulations over a 7‑day (168‑hour) period, allowing users to monitor expected rainfall and snowfall patterns on a global scale.
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This WebMap comprises of two layers , namely, HRDPA Observed Accumulated Precipitation - Past 1 day, 3 days and 7 days (feature layer) ; and HRDPA SubBasin Precipitation Distribution - Past 1 day, 3 day, and 7 days (feature layer). HRDPA is ECCC’s high-resolution precipitation analysis, merging gauge, radar, and HRDPS model data. CaPA-HRDPA produces four analyses of 6 hour amounts per day, valid at synoptic hours (00, 06, 12 and 18 UTC) and two 24 hour analysis valid at 06 and 12 UTC. A preliminary production is started 1 hour after valid time and a final one is launched 7 hours later. This translates into a production of 12 analyses per day.
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This feature layer showcases ultra-fine (2.5 km) short-range precipitation forecasts from the High Resolution Deterministic Prediction System (HRDPS), a convection-permitting model by Environment and Climate Change Canada. It identifies local-scale rainfall or snowfall patterns up to 48 hours, supporting urban flood forecasting, severe weather response, and detailed water resource planning. Convection-Permitting: The HRDPS can explicitly resolve thunderstorms and other small-scale weather events by running at ~2.5 km. Short-Range Focus: Typically provides forecasts out to 36–48 hours, updated several times daily. Local Impact: Valuable for pinpointing high-impact precipitation in complex terrain or urban environments, aiding emergency managers and hydrologists in short-lead-time decisions. Nested Model: Receives lateral boundary conditions from RDPS, maintaining consistency with regional forecasts while refining detail in local domains.
Arctic SDI catalogue