Weather Models
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This polygon layer depicts sub-basin average observed precipitation from the High Resolution Deterministic Precipitation Analysis (HRDPA). Offers insight into how much rain/snow actually fell across each watershed in the past observation period. Observation periods we are interested are for past 1 day, 3 days and 7 days. HRDPA is ECCC’s high-resolution precipitation analysis, merging gauge, radar, and HRDPS model data. This layer aggregates the final (or preliminary) HRDPA accumulations to sub-basin polygons. Each record indicates the average precipitation that truly occurred over each watershed, vital for verifying model forecasts, calibrating hydrological models, and conducting post-event analyses of flood or drought severity.
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This polygon layer shows the spatial distribution of forecasted accumulated precipitation across watershed sub‑basins using data derived from the Regional Ensemble Prediction System (REPS). In other words, it aggregates precipitation amounts—computed from processed REPS forecast output (converted from GRIB2 files into raster [TIF] format)—over defined watershed boundaries to provide a detailed view of expected rainfall over a typical 72‑hour forecast period. This information supports regional hydrological forecasting, flood risk analysis, and water resource management. REPS forecast data are first processed to extract the accumulated precipitation field (APCP) and converted into high‑resolution raster images. These “REPS APCP rasters” represent the spatial distribution of forecast precipitation (in millimeters) over the region. Next, using pre‑defined watershed or sub‑basin boundaries, zonal statistics are applied to compute the average precipitation for each sub‑basin. The final layer displays these averaged values as polygon features, highlighting variations in forecasted rainfall across different drainage areas. This approach helps users pinpoint regions that may receive higher or lower rainfall, thereby enhancing hydrological assessments and emergency planning.
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This polygon layer showcases ultra-fine (2.5 km) short-range precipitation forecasts from the High Resolution Deterministic Prediction System (HRDPS), a convection-permitting model by Environment and Climate Change Canada. It identifies local-scale rainfall or snowfall patterns up to 48 hours, supporting urban flood forecasting, severe weather response, and detailed water resource planning. Convection-Permitting: The HRDPS can explicitly resolve thunderstorms and other small-scale weather events by running at ~2.5 km. Short-Range Focus: Typically provides forecasts out to 36–48 hours, updated several times daily. Local Impact: Valuable for pinpointing high-impact precipitation in complex terrain or urban environments, aiding emergency managers and hydrologists in short-lead-time decisions. Nested Model: Receives lateral boundary conditions from RDPS, maintaining consistency with regional forecasts while refining detail in local domains.
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This WebMap comprises of three layers , namely, HRDPA Observed Accumulated Precipitation - Past 1 day, 3 days and 7 days (feature layer) ; HRDPA SubBasin Precipitation Distribution - Past 1 day, 3 day, and 7 days (feature layer) and Supporting Layers (group layer) - Comprising of Main Cities, Nelson River Basin and Basin Boundaries (feature layers). HRDPA is ECCC’s high-resolution precipitation analysis, merging gauge, radar, and HRDPS model data. CaPA-HRDPA produces four analyses of 6 hour amounts per day, valid at synoptic hours (00, 06, 12 and 18 UTC) and two 24 hour analysis valid at 06 and 12 UTC. A preliminary production is started 1 hour after valid time and a final one is launched 7 hours later. This translates into a production of 12 analyses per day.
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This polygon layer displays ensemble-based, medium-range precipitation forecasts from the Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS), offering a probabilistic view of future rainfall or snowfall over a 16‑day horizon. It aids in uncertainty analysis, risk assessment, and strategic resource planning. Ensemble Approach: GEPS runs multiple perturbed members of ECCC’s GEM model, capturing a range of atmospheric evolutions and yielding probability distributions for precipitation. Global Domain: Similar coverage to the GDPS but focuses on ensemble mean, spreads, and probabilities rather than a single deterministic outcome. Longer-Range Outlook: Extends up to 16 days, supporting risk-based planning for potential floods, extended rainfall events, or dryness. Data Utility: Allows decision-makers to weigh confidence levels in precipitation scenarios, vital for water management, agriculture, and emergency contingency strategies.
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This is the web experience created using ArcGIS Web Experience Builder to portray the dynamic precipitation maps derived using various weather model data published by the Environment Canada, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. It contains various precipitation layers for each of the models depicting various forecast periods / observation periods. The underlying data is updated regularly as the data gets published by ECCC/NOAA/ECMWF as per the publishing frequency. Following are the forecast weather models depicted in this Web Experience : HRDPS Model (High Resolution Deterministic Prediction System - Continental) for 24 and 48 hours of forecast periods. Regional Ensemble Prediction System (REPS) for 72 hours of forecast period hour. Regional Deterministic Prediction System (RDPS) for 84 hours of forecast period hour. Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS) for 168 and 240 hours of forecast periods. Global Forecast System (GFS) for 168 hours of forecast period. Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS) for 384 hours of forecast period. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts for 168 hours of forecast periodAnd following are the observed weather models depicted in this Web Experience :High Resolution Deterministic Precipitation Analysis (HRDPA) with observation periods of the past 1 day, 3 days and 7 days.Special Thanks to Environment and Climate Change Canada, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
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This WebMap comprises of three layers , namely, HRDPA Observed Accumulated Precipitation - Past 1 day, 3 days and 7 days (feature layer) ; HRDPA SubBasin Precipitation Distribution - Past 1 day, 3 day, and 7 days (feature layer) and Supporting Layers (group layer) - Comprising of Main Cities, Nelson River Basin and Basin Boundaries (feature layers). HRDPA is ECCC’s high-resolution precipitation analysis, merging gauge, radar, and HRDPS model data. CaPA-HRDPA produces four analyses of 6 hour amounts per day, valid at synoptic hours (00, 06, 12 and 18 UTC) and two 24 hour analysis valid at 06 and 12 UTC. A preliminary production is started 1 hour after valid time and a final one is launched 7 hours later. This translates into a production of 12 analyses per day.
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This feature layer showcases ultra-fine (2.5 km) short-range precipitation forecasts from the High Resolution Deterministic Prediction System (HRDPS), a convection-permitting model by Environment and Climate Change Canada. It identifies local-scale rainfall or snowfall patterns up to 48 hours, supporting urban flood forecasting, severe weather response, and detailed water resource planning. Convection-Permitting: The HRDPS can explicitly resolve thunderstorms and other small-scale weather events by running at ~2.5 km. Short-Range Focus: Typically provides forecasts out to 36–48 hours, updated several times daily. Local Impact: Valuable for pinpointing high-impact precipitation in complex terrain or urban environments, aiding emergency managers and hydrologists in short-lead-time decisions. Nested Model: Receives lateral boundary conditions from RDPS, maintaining consistency with regional forecasts while refining detail in local domains.
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This polygon layer displays sub-basin-level average precipitation derived from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) model. This layer helps hydrologists, forecasters, and planners see how much rainfall/snowfall is predicted or has occurred in each sub-basin, supporting medium-range water resource and flood management. We are intersested in the forecast period of 7 days. This layer aggregates ECMWF forecast precipitation over polygonal sub-basins. Each feature includes attributes for average accumulated precipitation, forecast run/valid times, and sub-basin identifiers. ECMWF is a leading global model offering medium-range (up to 10 days) forecasts at a high skill level. By focusing on sub-basins, this layer aids in local-scale decision-making—enabling more precise flood risk assessments, reservoir inflow estimates, and water resource planning across the region of interest.
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This polygon layer provides medium-range (up to 10 days) accumulated precipitation forecasts from the Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS), a worldwide numerical weather model run by Environment and Climate Change Canada. It addresses broad-scale weather systems and supplies boundary conditions for nested regional models. Global Scope: The GDPS covers the entire planet at ~15 km resolution, projecting large-scale atmospheric developments over a 240-hour window. Coupled Model: Integrates atmospheric and oceanic interactions, improving forecast accuracy for cyclones, frontal systems, and long-traveling storm patterns. Operational Backbone: Frequently used as a reference for regional or local models (e.g., RDPS) and for medium-range planning in water resource management or agriculture. Forecast Frequency: Runs twice daily, producing deterministic outputs that guide meteorologists, hydrologists, and emergency preparedness teams.